西南林区卫星监测热点及森林火险天气指数分析
Hotspots from Satellite Monitoring and Forest Fire Weather Index Analysis for Southwest China
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摘要: 根据国家林业局林火监测中心提供的2005—2007年卫星监测到的热点数据及相关信息和研究区及其周边2004—2007年34个气象站的每日定时观测数据,计算森林火险天气指数(FWI)系统各组分指数,分析西南地区森林火险和热点的分布规律。结果表明:2005—2007年西南地区热点主要分布在云南、广西和贵州西南部,44.6%的热点可能是野外植被燃烧引起的,这些热点包括草原、灌丛、森林和荒地上的火烧以及计划烧除、炼山等,云南西南和南部有大量的农业用火(占所有热点的30.1%)。西南地区的火烧主要发生在11月—翌年5月,1—5月份发生的火烧占全部热点的77.6%。森林火灾集中分布在云南东部和西北部、贵州东南部和广西大部分地区。热点数与相应区域的腐殖质湿度码(DMC)和干旱码(DC)的变化密切相关,森林火险期内DMC和DC值较高,热点和森林火灾多。热点数与FWI值存在显著的相关关系,FWI系统可以应用于西南地区,并且对森林火险有很好的指示作用。根据重点研究区的FWI各组分指数情况,定义低、中、高、很高和极高森林火险分别对应的FWI阈值为0 - 1.2、1.3 - 5.0、5.1 - 12.0、12.1 - 25.0和25.1+,对应火险等级日数分别占41.0%、23.6%、21.8%、11.2%和2.4%。研究区内人为火源和农业用火较多,加强研究区内高火险天气的火源管理是减少森林火灾的重要有效措施。Abstract: Data of the hotspots in 2005—2007 and related information were provided by Forest Fire Monitoring Center of State Forestry Administration. Each component index of Forest Fire Weather Index (FWI) system was calculated base on the daily observation data of thirty-four weather stations in the key research areas. The results showed the hotspots in 2005—2007 were mainly distributed in Yunnan, Guangxi and south-western Guizhou, in which 44.6 percent of the hotspots might be caused by wildfires. The fires occurred in grassland, scrubland, forest and the other lands, which included prescribed burning. A large number of fires used for agriculture distributed in southwestern and southern Yunnan Province, which accounted for 30.1 percent of all hotspots. Fire occurred mainly in the period of November to May, in which the fires in January to May accounted for 77.6 percent of all hotspots in southwestern China. Forest fires mainly occurred in eastern and northwestern Yunnan, southeastern Guizhou and most parts of Guangxi. The number of hotspots was closely related to the changes of humus moisture code (DMC) and drought code (DC) of the region. In fire seasons, there were high DMC and DC values and much more hotspots and wildfires. There was a significant correlation between FWI value and the number of hotspots, which indicated that FWI system could be applied to the southwestern China. Component indexes of FWI system were good indicators for the fires danger rating. Based on FWI system component indexes of the kew research area, the paper defined the forest fire danger rating and their corresponding threshold of all component indexes. FWI ranges for low, moderate, high, very high, and extreme fire danger classes were created as follows: 0 - 1.2,1.3 - 5.0,5.1 - 12.0,12.1 - 25.0,25.1+. And the number of days with each fire danger rating class accounted for separately 41.0%, 23.6%, 21.8%, 11.2% and 2.4% respectively. To strengthen the fire sources management was an important and effective measure to reduce forest fires, since there were lots of man-made fire source and fires for agricultural use.
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Key words:
- forest fire
- / southwest China
- / hotspots from satellite monitoring
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