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Citation:

Research on the Technology of Forest Volume Prediction

  • Received Date: 2007-12-10
  • The self-development system of forest growing-stock prediction is based on VB p latform. It uses GM (1, 1)model, compound interest formula and BP artifical neural network model to make macroscop ic forecasting of forestgrowing-stock respectively on the basis of management inventory data of forest resources of Sanming, FujianProvince. The forecasting result of three methods showed that BP artificial neural network model is fitted the best,followed by the Grey model, and the compound interest formula had the largest average relative error . Finally thispaper analyzes the p ros and cons of the three methods and exp lores further op timization method.
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  • [1] 李际平,邓立斌,何建华. 基于人工神经网络的森林资源预测研究[J]. 中南林学院学报, 2001, 21 (4) : 19 - 21

    [2] 王金盾. 三明市第三次森林资源二类调查主要指标的灰色预测[J]. 华东森林经理, 2006, 20 (4) : 47 - 49

    [3] 史凤友. 关于预测森林生长量复利式公式的初探[J]. 辽宁林业科技, 1986 (5) : 32 - 33

    [4] 郭正刚,吴秉礼. 灰色系统理论在林分蓄积量预测中的应用[J].甘肃农业大学学报, 1999, 34 (2) : 171 - 174

    [5] 张清桐. 应用灰色系统理论预测城峰镇“十五”期间有林地面积与蓄积量变化的研究[J]. 林业勘察设计, 2002 (1) : 5 - 8

    [6] 韩立群. 人工神经网络理论、设计及应用[M]. 北京:化学工业出版社, 2002: 43

    [7] 何 谦. 前馈神经网路BP算法及其VB语言程序设计[J]. 泸天化科技, 2001 (2) : 118 - 122

    [8] 曾伟生. 用生长率推算生长量时应注意的一个问题[J]. 中南林业调查规划, 1993 (4) : 57 - 58

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Research on the Technology of Forest Volume Prediction

  • 1. Research Institute of Forest Resources Information Techniques, CAF,Beijing 100091, China
  • 2. College of Information Science and Technology,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083, China

Abstract: The self-development system of forest growing-stock prediction is based on VB p latform. It uses GM (1, 1)model, compound interest formula and BP artifical neural network model to make macroscop ic forecasting of forestgrowing-stock respectively on the basis of management inventory data of forest resources of Sanming, FujianProvince. The forecasting result of three methods showed that BP artificial neural network model is fitted the best,followed by the Grey model, and the compound interest formula had the largest average relative error . Finally thispaper analyzes the p ros and cons of the three methods and exp lores further op timization method.

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